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Carnegie Endowment - Democratic Mirage



I am sending you the link to get "Democratic Mirage in the Middle East,
a seven-page policy brief about regime change in Iraq and its
possibility and implications for democratic development. This policy
brief, written by Marina Ottaway, Thomas Carothers, Amy Hawthorne and
Daniel Brumberg for the Carnegie Endowment, is well worth reading and
should destroy any illusions that building democracy in Iraq is a
cakewalk. CH
http://www.ceip.org/files/publications/publicationsmain.asp
Title: Carnegie Endowment - Publications


  Democratic Mirage in the Middle East
Research staff from Carnegie's Democracy and Rule of Law Project argue that the increasingly popular idea in Washington that the United States, by toppling Saddam Hussein, can rapidly democratize Iraq and unleash a democratic tsunami in the Middle East is a dangerous fantasy. Download full text (PDF). Request a copy


 

America's New Alliance with Pakistan: Avoiding the Traps of the Past
In a new policy brief Carnegie visiting scholar Husain Haqqani argues that a democratic regime, however flawed, is more likely to provide long-term stability to Pakistan. Download full text (PDF). Request a copy.


 

Iraq: A New Approach
This special Carnegie Endowment report identifies a middle ground between the two existing approaches to Iraq: continue to do nothing, or pursue an overthrow of Saddam Hussein. Download full text (PDF). Request a copy.


 

Environment's New Role in U.S. Trade Policy
In the third issue of the Trade, Equity, and Development policy brief series, TED director John Audley discusses how the Trade Act of 2002 integrates environmental policy priorities into U.S. trade negotiations. Download full text in English (PDF) or Spanish (PDF). Request a copy.

 


 

Russia after the Fall
This new book examines Russian politics, economics, society, and foreign and security policy. Internationally renowned experts provide retrospective analyses of how Russia has fared in its reform efforts and a prospective look at the challenges ahead.


 

Mythmaking in the Rule of Law Orthodoxy
In this new working paper, Frank Upham scrutinizes the concensus that there is an explicit link between rule of law reform and sustainable growth. Download full text (PDF). Request a copy.


 

Deadly Arsenals: Tracking Weapons of Mass Destruction
Joseph Cirincione with Jon B. Wolfsthal and Miriam Rajkumar
Deadly Arsenals provides the most comprehensive assessment available on the dangers nations face today from weapons of mass destruction, and the successes and failures of international nonproliferation efforts.

 

 

 

 

 

Recent Publications

Policy Briefs

September 11, One Year Later: A World of Change takes a look at the immediate effects that 9/11 has had on the economy, the environment, globalization, and the U.S. relationship with Russia, China, Central Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

Reforming Global Trade in Agriculture: A Developing-Country Perspective examines the benefits and drawbacks of the Agreement on Agriculture seven years after the members of the World Trade Organization signed the landmark accord.

Global Challenges: Beating the Odds The global to-do list has never been more daunting as the rising number of global problems brings many grave challenges.

Summit with Substance: Creating Payoffs in an Unequal Partnership argues that cooperation with Russia is now more important than ever and Presidents Bush and Putin must reach key agreements.

Doha: Is It Really a Development Round? The first policy brief of the Endowment's new series from the Trade, Environment, and Development project, takes a close look at the results of the Doha Ministerial and creates a less than optimistic picture.

End of a Brief Affair? The United States and Iran proposes U.S. engagement of Iran in return for a commitment by Iran's leaders to cease support for terrorism and back a two-state solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.

U.S. Climate Policy After Kyoto: Elements for Success argues that the decision by the Bush administration to abandon the Kyoto Protocol and go its own way on climate change is not necessarily the disaster for climate policy often portrayed by environmentalists.

Rebalancing United States-China Relations argues that the United States must do far more than make rhetorical commitments to ensure a constructive U.S.-China relationship.

Rebuilding Afghanistan: Fantasy versus Reality argues that the United States needs to devise a modest and realistic program, aimed at creating peace and restoring basic economic functions rather than rebuilding the entire state.

Preventing New Afghanistans: A Regional Strategy for Reconstruction argues that unless the international community pursues a regional strategy for rebuilding Afghanistan, the security of the Central Asian states and Pakistan will be so compromised that new terrorist groups with global reach soon will be using Eurasia as their launching pad again.

Building Capitalism: Lessons of the Postcommunist Experience argues that countries with more effective democracies have produced better market reforms, because the voices of liberal market reformers are more likely to be heard in the struggle with the rent-seeking elite who would continue attempting to make money on the very transition.

Realistic U.S. Role in the Arab-Israeli Conflict argues that the U.S. must remember history's lessons and proceed cautiously as it tries to make peace in the Middle East. To prepare both sides for negotiations, U.S. policy should shift from conflict resolution to conflict management.

After the Attacks: Protecting Borders and Liberties argues that, in response to the September 11 terrorist attacks, the U.S. must strengthen the weak links in its immigration system. At the same time, a balance between enforcing controls and facilitating movement must be established.

Fighting Terrorism: Lessons from the Cold War argues that, to achieve any kind of long-term success in the battle against terrorism, the United States must combat not only the terrorist groups themselves, but also the wider movements that give them support and shelter.

Click here for a complete listing of Carnegie Endowment policy briefs.

 

Books

Citizenship Policies for an Age of Migration International experts offer detailed and important recommendations on citizenship issues.

Kazakhstan: Unfulfilled Promise examines the development of this ethnically diverse and strategically vital nation. It also looks at shortcomings of U.S. policy in the region and at the future challenges that Kazakhstan will pose to the United States and international institutions.

The End of Eurasia: Russia on the Border Between Gepolitics and Globalization examines contemporary Russian and Eurasian politics, contemplating the meaning of "Russia" today and its place in the world.

Managing Global Issues: Lessons Learned examines efforts over the past 50 years to address 16 global challenges, featuring the findings of an international, multidisciplinary group of experts.

Caught in the Middle: Border Communities in an Era of Globalization provides a fascinating look into the inner workings and realities of border communities along five international borders: United States-Canada, United States-Mexico, Germany-Poland, Russia-China, and Russia-Kazakhstan.

Gorbachev, Yeltsin, and Putin: Political Leadership in Russia's Transition analyzes the leadership politics in Russia over the past 16 years and demonstrates the crucial difference new leaders can make in a system that both before and after the fall of communism concentrated great power and authority at the top of the political hierarchy. This fascinating and informative volume provides a feel for all the tension and drama of Russia's transformation under three very different leaders.

A Public Role for the Private Sector: Industry Self-Regulation in a Global Economy is the first book to explore the emerging phenomenon of corporate self-regulation. The book looks at industry self-regulation on an international level across three different policy issues—environment, labor, and information privacy.

Click here for a complete listing of Carnegie Endowment books.

 

Working Papers

Enhancing Nuclear Security in the Counter-Terrorism Struggle: India and Pakistan as a New Region for Cooperation reports the results of a study of the potential to apply the principles and practice of threat reduction cooperation to countries beyond the territory of the former Soviet Union.

Do Judicial Councils Further Judicial Reform? Lessons from Latin America analyzes the record of experience with judicial councils in Latin America and extracts key lessons.

A New Equation: U.S. Policy toward India and Pakistan after September 11 focuses on the interconnected challenges for U.S. policy in and around the Indian subcontinent in the aftermath of the September 11 attacks

Foreign Direct Investment: Does Rule of Law Matter? Analyzes the relationship of foreign direct investment and the rule of law. The author takes a hard look at the proposition that developing and transitional countries must establish a well-functioning rule of law to attract foreign direct investment.

Politics and Parallel Negotiations: Environment and Trade in the Western Hemisphere describes the dual challenges of building economies and protecting the environment. The authors also provide a prescription for policy makers that addresses the needs of the Western hemisphere's countries. Download full text in English or Spanish (PDF format).

Russian Basic Science After Ten Years of Transition and Foreign Support presents a ten-year perspective on changes in the organization and financing of Russian fundamental science and on international support for that science since the fall of the Soviet Union.

Revisiting the 12 Myths of Central Asia examines the myths that the five Central Asian leaders are using to explain away very disappointing results in both economic and, especially, political reforms. Olcott had first examined a similar set of 12 myths as the region approached its fifth anniversary of independence in a 1995 paper entitled, "Twelve Myths of Central Asia."

A Greener Fast Track: Putting Environmental Protection on the Trade Agenda urges lawmakers to build upon President Bush's proposed 2001 International Trade Agenda to produce fast track legislation that responsibly incorporates environmental priorities into trade policy.

Click here for a complete listing of Carnegie Endowment working papers.

 

Reports

Russia's Decline and Uncertain Recovery clearly and succinctly analyzes the sources of Russia's decline during the Soviet period and the dangerous fragmentation and erosion of state power in Russia during the 1990s.

Nuclear Status Report: Nuclear Weapons, Fissile Material, and Export Controls in the Former Soviet Union provides the most comprehensive and authoritative single source for information on Russia's nuclear arsenal, its stockpile of nuclear materials, and the impact of US assistance to reduce the proliferation risks posed by the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Russia’s Nuclear and Missile Complex: The Human Factor in Proliferation provides the first detailed statistical glimpse inside the Russian nuclear and missile complexes, painting the most complete picture yet available of the living and working conditions of Russia’s weapons experts.

Click here for a complete listing of Carnegie Endowment reports.

 

 


  
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Publications Catalog

Fall/Winter 2002-2003


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How to Order Publications

Most Carnegie Endowment publications are distributed by the Brookings Institution Press. Please check individual publication listings for precise availability.

Carnegie Endowment reports, policy briefs, and working papers can be downloaded for free. A limited number of print copies are also available. To request a copy, please e-mail pubs@ceip.org.

Carnegie Moscow Center publications have a limited availability in the United States. For information contact Ann Stecker at astecker@ceip.org.






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