- Managing Instability in Algeria: Elites and political
change since 1995 by Isabelle Werenfels. Abingdon, Oxon, UK
and New York: Routledge, 2007. xv + 170. appendices to p. 173.
Notes to p. 206. Bibl. to p. 217. Index to p. 229. $120.
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- Isabelle Werenfels, a research associate at the German
Institute for International and Security Affairs, pulled off the
remarkable feat in 2002 of freely interviewing over a hundred
members of the Algerian elite, many of them over several sessions,
in the course of five months of fieldwork, at a time when most
Westerners circulated, if at all, under heavy police protection.
Not only did this intrepid young Swiss researcher, with support of
her ambassador, gain access to so many interview partners; she has
succeeded, with additional clues from the colorful Algerian press,
in making some sense of Algeria's opaque political system. This is
a superbly crafted study of its fragmented elite; it is as
rigorous as the fluid subject matter allows.
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- Her "political relevant elite" includes opposition as well as
governmental actors, and she was able to interview one former
leader of the Front Islamique du Salut (FIS) as well as various
moderate Islamists coopted into the parliament. She divides the
elite into three circles, an inner core of what Algerians call les
décideurs and whom she identifies by reputation, a second
circle of "actors with limited decision-making power but strong
advisory power," and a third outer circle of those "having
indirect and often only temporary influence on decision-making qua
advisory, veto, bargaining or nuisance power" (pp. 23-24). She had
to rely on a reputational approach to identify core and second
circle actors, since formal positions could be misleading. As a
general rule most cabinet ministers were in the second circle and
members of parliament, along with various other actors such as
Kabyle activists, business and trade union leaders, and various
other civil society spokespeople, in the third. Obviously people
moved between circles and could not be unambiguously pigeon-holed
into one category even at one point in time, but the spectrum of
core to periphery enabled her to examine trends.
Impressionistically it seemed by the late 1990s, after the carnage
of 1992-97 when 100,000 to 200,000 Algerians lost their lives,
that many new actors were clamoring into third circle,
constraining the core decision-makers and their clients in the
second circle.
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- Through her semi-structured interviews Werenfels tried to get
a sense of her interview partners' views on three policy issues:
the privatization of state industries, educational reform, and
political participation "of all political actors that claimed to
adhere to democratic rules" (p. 94, i.e. national reconciliation).
Based on these and other variables such as age and social
background, Werenfels generated a five fold typology of elite
ideal types ranging from "neo-dinosaur," people who wanted to go
back to the secure albeit austere Boumediene era (1965-78) of the
planned economy, to "neo-revolutionary," "radical democrat,"
"Islamist reformer," and "nationalist reformer." The ideal types
are generated and concrete illustrations drawn from her data set,
mainly from third generation (born after 1959) elites, most of
whom were third circle. Given the problems of sampling and data
collection, no pretense is made to aggregate and draw inferences
about the weight of the respective tendencies over time. If most
of the third generation expressed a reform oriented discourse,
Werenfels also observed that more senior elite members in the
second circle generally shared the rhetoric but did not practice
what they preached. By far the more interesting part of this study
is her analysis of "the structural factors which define….the
corridor of action within which elites can operate" (p. 118).
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- A "corridor of action" is not an intermediary, like a party or
an association, between an elite and the masses or segments of
society such as workers, women, or a profession. Elite-mass
linkages, in the sense of intermediaries, remain very weak in
Algeria, weaker, say, than in neighboring Tunisia or Morocco. The
state is weak, as is the rule of law. The "structural" factors
that define a corridor are the actor's mental constructs ranging
from generally shared norms and values to personal appreciations
of one's informal political capital and obligations. One generally
shared political perception is "le pouvoir," a fuzzy monolith that
excuses personal responsibility for political actions and
outcomes. The actors are "embedded" in a variety of informal, even
imaginary economic and social networks including tribes, regions,
and religious orders, and they must "engage in negotiations" as
part of "the social game…[that has] little to do with political
agendas," (p. 160) to survive politically. With globalization and
structural adjustment some of the networks get defined by
international treaties and conventions, which is another way of
saying that some core actors, although currently benefiting as
allies in the Global War on Terror, may feel some constraints due
to potential sanctions against money laundering and other, worse
crimes.
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- This book is a must read for students of comparative politics
and political economy as well as Algeria specialists. It offers a
thick, rich description of the contradictory values and practices
that tend to transform rhetorical reformers into conservative
rent-seekers. In addition to the divide and rule tactics of the
core elite, itself ever divided, the various "corridors of action"
offer a further explanation for inaction, complementing the
conventional explanation that rentier oil economies tend to shrug
off economic and political reform as long as oil prices stay high.
Hopefully this book, at least, will become affordable in a
paperback edition.
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