Class 15: Costs of Diplomatic Paralysis: the 1973 War. Step by step vs. comprehensive solutions? 

Recall legacy of 1967 war

• West Bank - 100,000 to 178,000 refugees [over 200,000, claims Shlomo Gazit, Gordon p6] (and see current fence construction)
• Gaza Strip
• East Jerusualem
• Golan Heights - 102,000 to 115,000 refugees
• Sinai - 38,000 refugees
• prolonged occupation

Regional Developments - PBS video of failure to make peace (6 mins)

• failure of Rogers Plan 1969
• emergence of Fatah and Yassir Arafat (video - 20 mins)
• Black September (1970)
• Egypt: death of Nasser, successor: Anwar Sadat
• Syria: Hafez al-Assad 1970-2000 (succeeded by son Bechar al-Assad)
• Israel: Golda Meir and the Labor Party vs Gush Emunin

The October - Yom Kippur - Ramdan War (Oct. 6-25, 1973) - - PBS video 20 mins

• crossing of the Bar-Lev line
• aid to Israel and the oil embargo
• Sharon's crossing and trapping of Egyptian army
• Soviet threat of intervention and Kissinger's nuclear alert

Toward a settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict?

• piece-by-piece tactics (Kissinger)
• comprehensive settlement (Rogers 1969...Jimmy Carter)
• note Baker-Bush two track: comprehensive Madrid Conference of October 1991